Waiting For The Big One (Part 2)

In my post “Waiting For The Big One” I explained why I believe that the islamic state will try to pull something big off in America, something on the order of 9/11.

According to an article in The Independent the islamic state claims in the most recent issue of its magazine “Dabiq” that they could buy their first nuke from Pakistan in one year.


“Let me throw a hypothetical operation onto the table,” the article continues. “The Islamic State has billions of dollars in the bank, so they call on their wilāyah in Pakistan to purchase a nuclear device through weapons dealers with links to corrupt officials in the region.”

It admits that such a scenario is “far-fetched” but warns: “It’s the sum of all fears for Western intelligence agencies and it’s infinitely more possible today than it was just one year ago.

“And if not a nuke, what about a few thousand tons of ammonium nitrate explosive? That’s easy enough to make.”

An attack launched by Isis against America would ridicule “the attacks of the past”.

“They’ll [Isis] be looking to do something big, something that would make any past operation look like a squirrel shoot, and the more groups that pledge allegiance the more possible it becomes to pull off something truly epic.”

I don’t believe that the islamic state could buy a nuke from Pakistan as easily as they claim but what is certain is that they are eager to conduct a massive terrorist attack on American soil.
But as they themselves point out they could use “a few thousand tons of ammonium nitrate explosive”.
To understand what that means, take a good look at this photo.

Oppau explosion
Oppau explosion aftermath.

It was taken after the explosion of about 4,500 tons of ammonium nitrate fertilizer at a chemical plant in Oppau, Germany on September 21, 1921.
The explosion was massive. It left a crater 90 by 125 meters and 19 meters deep, killed  500 to 600 people and left 2,000 injured.
30 kilometers away windows had bursted and the explosion could be heared more than 300 kilometers away.
The explosion was equivalent to 1 to 2 kilotonnes of TNT.
In other words: the explosion was the equivalent to the detonation of a tactical nuclear weapon.
Ammonium nitrate is mainly used in fertilizers and can be easily extracted from such fertilizers. It was also used in the Oklahoma City bombing.
While I don’t think that the islamic state can get a nuke, an “Oppau scenario” where they blow up an entire plant or an excessive amount of explosives is very possible.
Americans have to be vigilant and look for anything that is suspicous.

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